Find the change.
Test the conviction.
Follow an investment thesis from source evidence to an accountable forecast.
Believability. Data fission & fusion. Measurable financial EFV.
Define the investment case
No public-source refresh yet.
Next · Capture evidence →Capture what you know
Original receipts remain intact. Corrections become new versions. Directional annotations require your review; repeated event keys share lineage.
Import a structured dataset
JSON array, up to 250 records per import. Macro vintages, prices, media observations and other research can use the same contract. Receipt times are always assigned now; historical imports are not retroactively known.
Evidence timeline
Fuse the evidence
Freeze four traceable research signals and a financial EFV profile. All calculations preserve source receipts and contextual source-weight snapshots.
Inspect the frozen calculation & source weights
No frozen snapshot yet.
Put the thesis to a test
Register a binary question before its outcome. Resolution rules and probabilities cannot be changed afterward. A source earns weight within its domain and horizon.
Resolve a completed forecast
Forward comparison
Source believability
Observe a paper portfolio
Long-only hypothetical baskets with a cash remainder. Add adjusted-price evidence before opening or marking positions. Prices and currencies must be consistent. No brokerage connection or real orders.
Claim IntelligenceTrace the statement. Inspect the sources. Follow the outcome.
See what connects.
One continuous path from a public statement to reusable knowledge.
Give your data a track record.
Track a claim to see real sources and outcomes connected here. No example findings are mixed into your data.
Owner-reviewed outcomes · Connections show recorded lineage, not causation. Motion is decorative; it does not represent measured EFVT or live transfers.